U.S. stocks bounced back into Monday afternoon as investors looked past soft data out of China that had led to a lower open for all three major indexes.
How stocks are trading
The Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose 135 points, or 0.4%, to 33,896.
The S&P 500
was up 12 points, or 0.3%, at 4,292.
The Nasdaq Composite
lost 54 points, or 0.4%, to trade at 13,102.
The S&P 500 had advanced 3.3% last week for its fourth straight weekly gain and longest such winning streak since November. Meanwhile, the Dow climbed 2.9% last week, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 3.1%.
What’s driving markets
Stocks began to recover in late-morning trading, reversing course from the open after disappointing economic news out of China had helped set a negative tone, with retail sales, investment and industrial output all slowing and missing forecasts. China’s central bank also trimmed lending rates.
Meanwhile, the New York Fed’s Empire State business conditions index, a gauge of manufacturing activity in the state, plummeted 42.4 points to negative 31.3 in August. Though the figure didn’t help sentiment, economists were taking it with a grain of salt.
The Empire State data “wasn’t entirely bad: deliveries times were steady for the first time in almost two years, employment managed to rise, and inflation pressures did not increase,” said Oren Klachkin, lead U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, in a note.
“At the same time, manufacturers were not cheerful about the outlook for the next six months,” Klachkin wrote. “We caution not to take too much away from this report since N.Y. manufacturing constitutes a small portion of the country’s manufacturing base.”
Stocks experienced renewed upward momentum in late-morning trading after the S&P 500 completed a four-week winning streak on Friday that delivered its best percentage advance for such a period since November 2020.
Similarly, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite sits near an almost four-month high after surging 22.6% off its mid-June low as of Friday. Stocks were buoyed last week as the U.S. consumer-price index and producer-price index showed inflation cooling, though still running quite hot.
“The good news on inflation coming on the heels of a very strong July payrolls report has reinvigorated belief in a ‘soft landing’ for the economy. This is an outcome that we thought was at least as likely as a recession, and now the markets are moving closer to pricing in this scenario,” said Solita Marcelli, chief investment officer for the Americas at UBS Global Wealth Management, in a note.
“The risk is that the markets get ahead of themselves, especially with investor FOMO starting to kick in,” she wrote, referring to the phenomenon known as “fear of missing out.”
Technical indicators speak to the improved tone of late. The Cboe Volatility Index
a gauge of expected market volatility that usually rises when investors are fearful, hovered below its long-term average of 20 on Monday.
The breadth of the market’s latest bounce is also considered supportive, with Bespoke Investment noting the percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day moving average has jumped to 88% from just 2% on June 16th.
Source: Bespoke Investment
Also Friday, the S&P 500 closed above 4,231, retracing more than 50% of the 2022 selloff from its Jan. 3 record close to the June 16 low. Technical analysts noted that the S&P 500 in the past half-century hasn’t retraced 50% of a bear-market selloff and then gone on to set new cycle lows, though they warned that there was still potential for sharp losses and near-term volatility.
In other economic data, the National Association of Home Builders’ monthly confidence index fell 6 points to 49 in August, the trade group said Monday. It’s the first time since 2020 that it came in below a break-even measure of 50.
Companies in focus
Shares of Walt Disney Co.
rose 2.8% after Dan Loeb of Third Point LLC, which liquidated a large stake in the entertainment giant earlier this year, disclosed he has “repurchased a significant stake” in the company and would work with Disney’s management team in pursuit of strategic changes.
Chief Executive Elon Musk noted a company milestone on Sunday, tweeting that the electric-vehicle maker has produced more than 3 million vehicles, with a third of them made in China. Shares rose 2.8%.
Shares of Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.
rose 9.2%, putting the meme stock on track for a fourth-straight gain. The stock had run up 21.8% on Friday, and had soared 32.3% since it fell 14.2% on Aug. 9 to snap the longest win streak in 15 years. The home goods retailer’s meme stock is headed for the 13th gain in 14 sessions.
How other assets are faring
The 10-year Treasury yield
fell 7 basis points to 2.782%.
rose above $25,000 for the first time since June, but then reversed, dropping 0.4% to $24,233.
Hear from Carl Icahn at the Best New Ideas in Money Festival on Sept. 21 and Sept. 22 in New York. The legendary trader will reveal his view on this year’s wild market ride.
— Jamie Chisholm contributed to this article.